Can Structural Indicators of Trade Explain Why EU Candidate Countries Are Integrating Slowly?

Nikolić, Goran and Nikolić, Ivan (2023) Can Structural Indicators of Trade Explain Why EU Candidate Countries Are Integrating Slowly? Eastern European Economics, 62 (4). pp. 505-527. ISSN 1557-9298

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Abstract

The paper discusses whether EU enlargement fatigue slowing down the EU integration process of 6 Candidate Countries (C6) can be explained by the poor economic and trade performance of those economies, especially in exchange with the EU. We comprehensively analyzed the merchandise trade of those economies with the EU in 2007-2018 using numerous quantitative techniques and applying a very high level of data disaggregation. The conclusion is that the weak trade performances of C6 are not the cause of the enlargement fatigue as these economies detected moderate structural improvements in their trade with the EU.

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