Shifts in the Age-Sex Structure of Serbia’s Population: From the Late 19th to the Early 21st Century

Marinković, Ivan and Vuletić, Aleksandra and Potić, Ivan (2025) Shifts in the Age-Sex Structure of Serbia’s Population: From the Late 19th to the Early 21st Century. Journal of Population Ageing. ISSN 1874-7876

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Abstract

From the late 19th century to the early 21st century, Serbia’s population age-sex composition experienced profound transformations shaped by socio-economic developments and historical disruptions. The age structure, detrimental to social progress, presented challenges at the close of the 19th century and the early 2000s, though driven by vastly different factors. In the late 19th and early 20th centuries, basic demographic indicators, including low life expectancy, high mortality rates—particularly among infants and children under five—and relatively high fertility rates, defined Serbia’s age-sex structure. Over the following decades, the country underwent a rapid demographic transition, characterised by declines in both fertility and mortality rates, alongside substantial emigration. While Serbia once had one of Europe’s youngest populations at the end of the 19th century, it is now among the world’s oldest in demographic terms. This paper explores changes in Serbia’s age-sex structure over a century, drawing on data from four population censuses (1890, 1921, 1961, and 2022). We will analyse the prevailing socio-economic and historical conditions during data collection for each census to explain how these factors shaped demographic changes. Particular attention will be given to identifying when the demographic ageing process in Serbia began compared to selected European countries. We will examine the causal relationship between age structure and population dynamics and consider potential future demographic scenarios.

Item Type: Article
Institutional centre: Centre for demographic research
Depositing User: D. Arsenijević
Date Deposited: 04 Sep 2025 07:35
Last Modified: 04 Sep 2025 07:35
URI: http://iriss.idn.org.rs/id/eprint/2775

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