How to motivate policy makers to face demographic challenges?

Rašević, Mirjana and Nikitović, Vladimir and Lukić-Bošnjak, Dragana (2014) How to motivate policy makers to face demographic challenges? Zbornik Matice srpske za društvene nauke (148(3)). pp. 607-617. ISSN 0352-5732 eISSN 2406-0836

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Abstract

If we want to understand the deeper truth, or intend to interpret phenomena through the perception of a specific population, a more holistic perspective might be necessary. By applying foresight exercise, some new patterns might be discovered and shifts in study aspects inhibited. Such an approach intends to give meaning to future perceptions, expectations and fears of experts, decision makers and civilians. Its activities are designed to address critical questions, which might significantly shape the future of a country in the coming years. Foresight exercise reinforces thinking about what future steps should be taken, if a specific scenario becomes reality. Personal life stories based on binary opposition of the futures of a country can be used to unambiguously show the policy makers all the relevant implications that different futures might have regarding fertility, migration, population ageing, human capital and labour market in Serbia in the forthcoming period. Furthermore, it seems that such foresight exercise, as a qualitative approach, can provide additional insight into quantitative methods of forecasting demographic future of a country.

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