The European union at a Historical Watershed

Lopandić, Duško and Cvetićanin, Neven and Maksimović, Marijana (2022) The European union at a Historical Watershed. In: International Organizations: Serbia and Contemporary World. Institute of International Politics and Economics, Belgrade Faculty of Philosophy of the University of St. Cyril and Methodius, Skopje, Beograd, pp. 435-447. ISBN 978-86-7067-304-5

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Abstract

The paper presents an analysis of the consequences of the war in Ukraine, which began at the end of the winter of 2022, for the European Union as an institutional creation but also for European society as a whole. This war will probably be one that separates historical epochs, and after that we can expect a changed economic and security architecture both in the world and on the Old Continent. One of the main geopolitical and geoeconomic consequences of the war in Ukraine for the world and Europe is reflected in the completion of the process of returning to so-called realpolitics, namely the policies of so-called hard power in international relations. This will probably be followed by the so-called process of “geopolitical lockdown” of different geopolitical areas because the war in Ukraine has accelerated the process of disintegration of a single international diplomatic, security, and economic system. The paper investigates the consequences of this process of returning hard power and splitting the single international system in Europe, the Balkans, and especially in the capacity of the European Union for enlargement. Therefore, the analysis offered in this paper can be useful for further conceptualizing Serbia’s strategy in its relationship with the European Union and devising an optimal approach to the European integration process given the possible developments in Europe after the war in Ukraine. The analysis undertaken in this paper can be useful for Serbian public policies because it is not one-sided orideological, but includes various scenarios for the European future and takes into account their impact on the region and Serbia.

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